Bitcoin is on track to be one of the year’s best performing assets, despite a recent retraction—but that’s not stopped bitcoin bulls from fighting on Twitter.
The bitcoin price has climbed through much of 2020, adding some 40%, with the bullish stock-to-flow model—that predicts a massive $288,000 bitcoin price before 2024—working “like clockwork,” according to its anonymous creator.
However, a number of high-profile bitcoin analysts and entrepreneurs have clashed over the stock-to-flow model this last week, with the anonymous PlanB accusing his critics of trying to unmask him and his model derided as “absolutely useless.”
“The [stock-to-flow] model is based on the most fundamental errors which render it absolutely useless,” warned Alex Kruger, an economist and cryptocurrency analyst, speaking over the phone.
The stock-to-flow pricing model, created by anonymous Twitter user PlanB, who claims to be a Dutch institutional investor with a legal and quantitative finance background that manages around $100 billion in assets and tweets from the handle @100trillionUSD, calculates a ratio based on the existing supply of an asset against how much is entering circulation.
Commodities such as gold–with the largest stock-to-flow ratio of 62, meaning it would take 62 years of gold production to get the current gold stock–have a higher stock-to-flow ratio and are valued by investors for their scarcity. Silver has a stock-to-flow ratio of 22 years for its production to reach the current silver stock.
Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow ratio is now 50 following bitcoin’s third halving earlier this year, which saw the number of